Macroeconomic analysis and forecasting
Macroeconomic volatility and related structural changes (e.g. disruptions in the supply chain) translate into increased uncertainty in business planning across many industries. Our analyses help Clients to be up-to-date with macroeconomic trends as well as to understand whether and how macroeconomic factors affect their key business metrics such as consumer demand (e.g. in the case of an FMCG company) or default risk (e.g. in the case of a lending institution).
The team
What EY can do for you
EY Economic Analysis Team (EY EAT) supports clients by preparing or assessing macroeconomic forecasts or scenarios, analysing the impact of the macroeconomic environment on business as well as building or augmenting business forecasting models.
EY EAT leverages multi-year experience in macroeconomic analysis and macroeconometric modelling obtained in the private sector, the Central Bank, the Ministry of Finance and the academia by:
Following and analysing current macroeconomic developments on the ongoing basis as well as preparing in-house macroeconomic forecasts for EMEIA (Europe, the Middle East, India and Africa) region
Assessing macroeconomic forecasts and scenarios, particularly in support of IFRS 9 audit, by checking their internal consistency and alignment with the current state of knowledge
Preparing tailored macroeconomic forecasts or scenarios and building macroeconomic forecasting models that suit client needs
Analysing the impact of macroeconomic environment on client’s business (e.g. demand for client’s products, prices of key components needed for production, prices of financial assets in the client’s portfolio etc.) using tailored econometric models
Augmenting the client’s business forecasting models with macroeconomic variables
Building business forecasting models that take into account business-specific and macroeconomic factors using state-of-the-art econometric methods
Team
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